The Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative
    Home Current Projects Climate Variability and Uncertainty in Flood Hazard Planning in Colorado
  About the Initiative
Overview
People
Contact Information
Program Documents
  Initiative Research
Current Projects
Publications
Presentations
  Links of Interest
Supporting Institutions
Other NCAR Initiatives
  For Initiative Staff
Website Statistics Initiative Staff Only
Mailing List
  Search This Website

...more search features  
1997 Ft. Collins Flood, College Ave. Bridge Climate Variability and Uncertainty in Flood Hazard Planning in Colorado

Fire at Trailer Park, Ft. Collins Flood of 1997Extreme storms create serious flood hazards in the Colorado Front Range (CFR), making flood risk an important aspect of state and local planning. However, in areas of steep topography such as Colorado, estimates of flood risk are highly uncertain because of the sparsity of data and the high spatial and temporal variability in precipitation. Recent multidisciplinary research has raised serious questions about the accuracy of precipitation frequency estimates currently used for flood hazard planning in Colorado and other Rocky Mountain states.

The goal of this project is to develop improved methods of estimating local risks of the extreme warm season rainfall that causes severe floods in the CFR. To be useful, the information must be accepted within the regulatory process and tailored to the needs of policy makers, floodplain administrators, and technical experts. Therefore the project has Climb to Safety on Case of a Flash Flood two major components: (1) to learn how scientific information and uncertainty are incorporated into flood-related decision making and regulation, and (2) to develop improved methods of estimating precipitation frequencies through meteorological analysis and use of extreme value statistics.

Participants in FY2003

Mary Downton, Rebecca Morss, Olga Wilhelmi, Melissa Crandell (ESIG), Uli Schneider (GSP), Doug Nychka (CGD), and Eve Gruntfest (U of Colorado, Colorado Springs).


Data Research Contacts Links
  Navigate the Climate Variability and Uncertainty in Flood Hazard Planning in Colorado Website with the above links  
  Initiative Staff Only Denotes Initiative Staff Only Top of Page  
NCAR Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative